Unlocked Apple iPhone 3G S for India in April

The device will be available for one-year lock-in

Bhaskar Hazarika

For the first time an official, unlocked iPhone will be available in India. By midApril, Apple will launch the iPhone 3G S in India, more than 10 months after its global launch reports Bhaskar Hazarika in New Delhi.

The high-end handset will be sold in the open market, not necessarily only through Apple stores or telecom operators.

However, there is another lock-in condition  a buyer of the new model cannot change the operator for one year. The handset will get automatically locked if the SIM card is changed during the period.

The open-market sale indicates Apple has learnt its lessons in India, which gave a lukewarm response to the iPhone 3G launched in August 2008. A person close to the development told Financial Chronicle that the model, locked and tied to specific telecom operators, gave little Indian business to Apple. Hence, the change in strategy.

According to market estimates Apple has sold at the most 30,000 iPhone 3G handsets through Airtel and Vodafone in India. No data from Apple were available.

However, the iPhone 3G S, launched globally in June last year, is already available in the Indian grey market.

The industry estimates that Indian grey market sales of iPhone 3G and 3G S could be between 80,000 and 1,00,000 handsets.

Among operators Airtel and Vodafone will offer the new model. But Apple is also in talks with other operators. With India readying for 3G services, it makes sense for Apple to dovetail its marketing strategy to the needs of the Indian market. An email sent across to Apple failed to elicit any response.

Last week Bharti Airtel in an official statement said the iPhone 3GS would be launched in India in "the coming months". It did not specify any date.

The iPhone 3G S is sold globally in two models: 16GB and 32GB. On the AT&T network in the US the 16GB model is available for $199 (about Rs 9,950) and 32GB for $299 (Rs 14,950) on a bundle offer with a two-year lock-in.

Compared to the earlier iPhone 3G, the iPhone 3G S is faster and with longer battery life. It supports speed of 7.2 mbps and has a 3 megapixel auto-focus camera.

© Financial Chronicle

3G auctions slated on April 9

DoT to issue NIA for prospective bidders on Thrusday

Bhaskar

New Delhi: The government has announced to hold the 3G spectrum auctions on April 9. The Notice Inviting Applications from prospective bidders will be issued tomorrow. The last date for receiving applications from bidders is on March 19. The government will hold mock auctions on April 5 and 6. Two days after the 3G auctions are held, the government will start the auction for Broadband Wireless Access (BWA) or WiMax spectrum.

© Time

Telecom babus have no official mail IDs

WPC employees do more paper work as they do not have official email IDs

Bhaskar Hazarika

New Delhi: India might move to the faster wireless broadband once the government decides to auction the WiMax and 3G spectrum, but the employees of Wirless Planning and Coordination (WPC), wing under the ministry of Communications and IT responsible for spectrum management, are yet to be connected with an official email address.

An official in the ministry of communications and IT told Financial Chronicle that apart from the Wireless advisor and five to six deputy wireless advisors, the majority workforce of 500 people does not own an official email address. “When the country is moving to the next generation technology and we are talking about broadband wireless access spectrum and high speed data on 3G, the authority responsible for frequency management does not have access to email. The employee grade above only the deputy wireless advisor has access to an official email,” he said.The government is planning to conduct the auctions for the 3G and WiMax spectrum by the end of this year.

WPC is the national radio regulatory authority responsible for frequency spectrum management, including licensing and caters to the needs of all wireless users in the country. The government before allocation of spectrum consults WPC on spectrum issues. On the recommendations of WPC, spectrum is allotted to operators depending upon the availability. The Department of Telecom has also allotted official email addresses to officials only above the rank of assistant advisor and assistant director. With India moving ahead to implement next generation technologies, the authority is yet to implement it in their respective departments. “For the government employees email is treated as a perk and not a facility. You are allotted email addresses after an official is promoted to a certain level,” said the communications ministry official.

But other government ministries such as finance and petroleum have allotted official email addresses to employees. An official in the finance ministry said, “Employees are allotted official email addresses but most of them prefer to use their personal emails. We have access to official email.”

© Financial Chronicle

TRAI gears up for 2G allocation policy

Regulator set up a spectrum cell to look at 2G and 3G allocation policy and pricing

Bhaskar Hazarika

New Delhi, February 15: Auctions for third-generation (3G) spectrum may have delayed, but there could be hope for telcos waiting for allotment of 2G spectrum. Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) is readying itself prior to the allocation of 3G and 2G spectrum by setting up a spectrum cell. The spectrum cell would facilitate recommendations for both 2G and 3G allocation policy.

Department of Telecom (DoT) had received 232 applications for Unified Access Service License (UASL) till September 25, 2007. Of the total 122 applicants have been Letters of Intent (LoI). Apart from existing telecom companies seeking for additional spectrum, new operators such as Sistema Shyam, Uninor and S Tel are in the queue to receive fresh spectrum in some of the selected circles.

This move comes after the regulator received mixed response from the telcos on allocation of additional 2G spectrum. The regulator is yet to take a call on auctioning of 2G spectrum.

A senior official from the ministry of communications and IT told Financial Chronicle that the spectrum cell would include experts dealing with spectrum allocation and auctions. “At present the spectrum cell has two people, one from TRAI and the other from Wireless Planning and Coordination (WPC). Additional number of experts are likely to join the cell, which will look at different aspects of spectrum allocation and pricing,” the official said.

He said that the spectrum cell has been created with the objective to look at the minute details on the auction of additional 2G spectrum. “There have been mixed views on the auction of 2G spectrum. The regulator is yet to decide if 2G spectrum should be auctioned to telcos, up and above the start up spectrum of 4.4 MHz or above 6.2 MHz. Also there have been discussions on the pricing of 2G, the expert committee will take a call on formulating the recommendations. It would also look in to sharing and trading of spectrum, cap on the number of service providers in a circle and merger and acquisition,” the official added.

The operators have been demanding early allocation of 2G spectrum, prior to the start of 3G auctions, which is scheduled to take place in September 2010. Telecom regulator is working to come up with a consultation paper on allocation of additional 2G spectrum.

WPC, wing under the Ministry of Communications and IT, is responsible for spectrum management. In a recent move WPC has written to the ministry for hiring experts for managing the 3G spectrum and WiMax auction processes. With 3G and WiMax spectrum auctions round the corner, WPC has sought for additional manpower to manage the auctions. With this initiative from the regulator in setting up the spectrum cell, it is unlikely that the government would grant additional manpower to WPC.

© Financial Chronicle

Telcos EBITDA margins to fall further by 5 to 10 per cent: Analyst

Outlook grim as tariff war rages, 3G delayed

Bhaskar Hazarika


Competitive pricing is likely to result in muted top line growth for telecom operators over the next four to six quarters. With per-second billing being launched by telcos, analysts foresee a further decline in average revenue per minute (ARPM), which has been a constant challenge for the industry. Analysts estimate that the revenues of telcos are likely to be stagnant and the earnings before income tax depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) margins would fall further by 5 to 10 per cent.

According to a Fitch Ratings report, incumbent operators with stronger balance sheets and comfortable liquidity profiles would be stable, while the outlook for new entrants and public sector telecom operators is negative. “The revision in the outlook from 2009 is primarily due to stiff competition and a faster-than-expected decline in tariffs, which has had an impact on revenue and profitability. However, the credit profiles of all operators are subject to the event risk of 3G and broadband wireless access (BWA) auctions,” the report says.

3G auctions and the implementation of mobile number portability (MNP) will be key themes in 2010.

Entry of new players in the telecom space saw the introduction of aggressive tariff plans from September 2009, forcing incumbents to introduce per-second billing plan. Analysts expect competitive pressure to continue in 2010, impacting revenue growth and putting pressure on Ebitda margins.

Director of telecom of KPMG Romal Shetty said 2010 would be one of the more difficult years for telecom operators and a positive year for customers. He said that there would be further correction in tariffs that are likely to come down further.

“Ebitda margins will go down by 5 to 10 per cent. Revenues for operators may remain stagnant. In the short term, it will be a difficult market but there is huge growth potential in the long term. Tariffs of high-end services such as international roaming, value- added services and data services are likely to come down further,” he said.

He said this year, some consolidation in this sector is likely. However, the mergers and acquisitions would be purely based on spectrum acquisition. “Due to the delay in the auction of 3G spectrum, some consolidation is likely to happen. We could see telecom biggies looking at smaller players for mergers. Thirteen telecom operators is a large number. Ideally, it should be six to eight operators,” Shetty said.

The increase in voice minutes is not proportionate to the decline in tariffs, putting margins under pressure. Shetty said that to combat falling Ebitda margins, operators would soon look at a change in the revenue contribution from voice and data segments. He said that once data revenues increase to 20 to 25 per cent, the revenues would start showing positive overall growth.

Principal analyst of Gartner Kamlesh Bhatia said, “Hyper competition on tariffs would have a pressure on both top line, as well as bottom line for operators. We see this is a difficult year for the telcos because tariffs have already reached the bottom, but there could be some corrections. Declining tariffs are eroding the margins of telcos and operators are going to have a competitive year ahead.”

Executive vice-president of Telenor group and head of Asia region Sigve Brekke said that going forward, if low tariffs are to continue, margins for operators would be under pressure. “It has always been a challenge for operators as the average revenue per user (ARPU) have been witnessing a steady decline. Operators offer low tariffs and are successful in increasing the minutes of usage, as such the pressure on margins could be rectified. However, the industry is likely to see such fluctuations in the future before the sector witnesses any consolidation,” Brekke said.

Price-led competition intensified in the third quarter 2009-10, with major operators cutting tariffs aggressively during the quarter (switching to per- second billing from the previous per-minute system). Consequently, ARPM declined at a faster pace of 5 per cent 6 per cent quarter-on-quarter in 2009. Voice ARPM declined from Rs 0.75-0.85 in the first quarter of financial year 2008 to Rs 0.45-0.55 in second quarter of financial year 2010. Fitch expects ARPM to continue to decline in 2010 due to the addition of mainly lower-end incremental subscribers and expected further pricing pressures due to the entry of new greenfield operators. However, the rate of decline will be lower than in 2009 due to growing data revenues.

Fitch states that capital expenditure, as a percentage of revenue remained high in financial year 2009-10 for private telcos (an average of 55 per cent), on the back of increased network coverage in smaller cities.

Capital expenditure for financial year 2010 is expected to be lower, however for financial year 2011, it will be higher for the 3G licence auction winners, assuming the 3G licence fees and its subsequent rollout in financial year 2011 is implemented. The free cash flow (FCF) of major private telcos has remained negative since inception due to higher capital expenditure and financing costs, and this trend is likely to continue, except for Bharti Airtel, which is expected to generate mildly positive FCF in financial year 2010 and financial year 2011, excluding the 3G licensing outlays.

According to a Macquarie report, the ongoing tariff war is likely to cap any meaningful re-rating of Indian telecom stocks in the next six to nine months. “Recent tariff actions are likely to result in muted top line growth for next four to six quarters for the Indian wireless operators. In addition to the slowdown in top line, intense competition leaves little cost cushion — hurting the margins of these players,” the report said.

However, mobile number portability is considered only a modest risk, and revenue from 3G services is not likely to be significant in 2010.

This is due to the fact that the Indian wireless market is already predominantly pre-paid and has a high annual churn rate of 40 to 48 per cent. Increased retention costs would mainly relate to the post-paid segment, which only accounts for around 5 per cent of overall subscribers in India.


© Financial Chronicle

NY Special: What if India leapfrogs to 4G?

Bhaskar Hazarika

New Delhi: India has already missed the bus to launch third-generation (3G) mobile services in the country. But this could be a blessing in disguise for the mobile operators if India leapfrogs to fourth-generation (4G). According to industry experts, Indian operators can move forward to 4G without rolling out 3G services. This could be another instance when India’s neighbour Pakistan is planning to leapfrog to 4G services.

Globally number of countries is testing 4G on the network after implementing 3G on the network. However, for India we are yet to log on to the third-generation services. Leapfrogging to 4G would prove to be a technology advantage for operators, since the 4G technology is 10 times spectral efficient compared to 3G. The 3G frequency bands identified by the ministry of communications and IT are compatible to roll out 4G services.

Joint secretary, department of telecom (DoT), JS Deepak said, “4G frequency bands or Long Term Evolution (LTE) is under consideration with DoT and Wireless Planning and Coordination (WPC). The ministry is carrying out a study on the 700 MHz frequency band if it could be used for WiMax or fourth generation (4G) services.” It should be noted that the government has taken a ‘technology neutral stand’ on the spectrum to be allocated for 3G services. This could be the first initiative from the government to open a window towards the 4G space.

Long Term Evolution (LTE) version 10, which is considered to be 4G, is being designed and will be available by the end of 2010. The present day LTE under implementation is considered as 3.9G. Since the spectrum for 3G will be available for private telecom operators by August 2010, it would be the right move for India to go for 4G, as the equipments for 4G will be available by the end of 2010. Union minister for communications and IT, Andimuthu Raja clearly stated, “Allotment of spectrum to maintain level playing field will be allotted to the successful bidders by August 2010.”

According to telecom expert and former advisor of Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI), Satyen N Gupta India should leapfrog to 4G and skip 3G, as there has been delay in the auction of spectrum. Gupta said that time is ripe for India to directly move to 4G. “Government and the regulator should be technologically agnostic while allocating spectrum. There should be no mandate that the proposed 3G spectrum should be used only to roll out 3G services. The operators should be given freedom to offer either 3G or 4G services,” Gupta said.

He said that the existing 3G frequency bands, which the government is planning to auction is compatible to offer 4G services. All the 3G frequency bands, which are under International Mobile Telecommunications (IMT), can be used for 4G. The Indian government has identified frequency bands in the 1.9 GHz to 2.1 GHz for auction.

Chief corporate affairs officer, Idea Cellular, Rajat Mukarji said that moving to 4G is a desirable direction… Yes, 3G can be leapfrogged. “We have been talking about 3G for more than 3 years and may be it has lost its meaning. Moving to 4G is a logical direction. We talk about mobile broadband but we should know that it is critical for the country. From the existing 2.5G to 4G is a quantum jump, but on thing that should be noted that it will be expensive to roll out 3G services at this point,” he added.

According to ABI research, the total number of 4G subscribers worldwide, including both LTE and WiMAX, is expected to exceed 90 million in 2013.

What is 4G?

4G technology is sometimes referred as ‘MAGIC,’ --- Mobile multimedia, Anytime-anywhere, Global mobility support, Integrated wireless and Customized personal service.

4G has three major characteristics: The download speed is 100 megabytes per second; It is based on internet protocol technology; Ubiquity as it is interoperable with the lower generation technologies. The distinctive quality of 4G networks is likely to use a combination of WiMAX and WiFi. The International Telecommunications Union (ITU) and The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) have identified that 4G will have data download speed of 100-mega bit per second and it is completely based on IP technology.

© Financial Chronicle